Elicitation of subjective probabilities in the context of decision-making by R K Sarin (Working Paper, No. 1976/105) Sarin, R K
By: Sarin, R K
Material type: 


Item type | Current location | Call number | Status | Date due | Barcode |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Working Paper | Vikram Sarabhai Library | WP 1976 (105) (Browse shelf) | Available | WP000105 |
In this paper a framework is developed to seek information from the decision-maker about uncertain events, and to use this information for identifying a preferred alternative. Existing methods are examined critically to determine the best strategy for eliciting subjective probabilities in the context of decision-making. It is shown how a preferred alternative can be identified with less than perfect knowledge of the probabilities.
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