Streetlights and shadows: searching for the keys to adaptive decision making (Record no. 164421)

MARC details
000 -LEADER
fixed length control field 00711nam a22001937a 4500
008 - FIXED-LENGTH DATA ELEMENTS--GENERAL INFORMATION
fixed length control field 140323b2009 xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020 ## - INTERNATIONAL STANDARD BOOK NUMBER
International Standard Book Number 9780262013390
082 ## - DEWEY DECIMAL CLASSIFICATION NUMBER
Classification number 153.83
100 ## - MAIN ENTRY--PERSONAL NAME
Personal name Klein, Gary
9 (RLIN) 86097
245 ## - TITLE STATEMENT
Title Streetlights and shadows: searching for the keys to adaptive decision making
260 ## - PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION, ETC. (IMPRINT)
Place of publication, distribution, etc Cambridge
Name of publisher, distributor, etc The MIT Press
Date of publication, distribution, etc 2009
300 ## - PHYSICAL DESCRIPTION
Extent xi, 337 p.
Accompanying material ill., maps
Size of unit 24 cm.
365 ## - TRADE PRICE
Price amount UCD 27.95
520 ## - SUMMARY, ETC.
Summary, etc In making decisions, when should we go with our gut and when should we try to analyze every option? When should we use our intuition and when should we rely on logic and statistics? Most of us would probably agree that for important decisions, we should follow certain guidelines--gather as much information as possible, compare the options, pin down the goals before getting started. But in practice we make some of our best decisions by adapting to circumstances rather than blindly following procedures. In Streetlights and Shadows, Gary Klein debunks the conventional wisdom about how to make decisions. He takes ten commonly accepted claims about decision making and shows that they are better suited for the laboratory than for life. The standard advice works well when everything is clear, but the tough decisions involve shadowy conditions of complexity and ambiguity. Gathering masses of information, for example, works if the information is accurate and complete--but that doesn't often happen in the real world. (Think about the careful risk calculations that led to the downfall of the Wall Street investment houses.) Klein offers more realistic ideas about how to make decisions in real-life settings. He provides many examples--ranging from airline pilots and weather forecasters to sports announcers and Captain Jack Aubrey in Patrick O'Brian's Master and Commander novels--to make his point. All these decision-makers saw things that others didn't. They used their expertise to pick up cues and to discern patterns and trends. We can make better decisions, Klein tells us, if we are prepared for complexity and ambiguity and if we will stop expecting the data to tell us everything.
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Decision making
9 (RLIN) 783
650 ## - SUBJECT ADDED ENTRY--TOPICAL TERM
Topical term or geographic name as entry element Problem solving
9 (RLIN) 470
852 ## - LOCATION/CALL NUMBER
Classification part K5S8
942 ## - ADDED ENTRY ELEMENTS (KOHA)
Item type Books
Source of classification or shelving scheme Dewey Decimal Classification
Holdings
Withdrawn status Lost status Source of classification or shelving scheme Damaged status Not for loan Home library Current library Shelving location Date acquired Item location Total Checkouts Full call number Barcode Date last seen Date last borrowed Koha item type
    Dewey Decimal Classification     Vikram Sarabhai Library Vikram Sarabhai Library General Stacks 03/08/2010 Rack 5-A / Slot 152 (0 Floor, West Wing) 1 153.83 K5S8 169930 09/02/2016 26/11/2015 Books